Live prediction market odds for Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-04
cbb-mia-smu-2026-03-04 : Sports event: Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs - cbb
SMU Mustangs leads the “Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs” event at 50.8% implied probability, followed by Miami Hurricanes (FL) at 52.2%. A 16.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). SMU Mustangs leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Hurricanes (FL) at 52%.
SMU Mustangs currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind SMU Mustangs, Miami Hurricanes (FL) at 52% are the next closest contenders. The 16.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: SMU Mustangs: 54¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket, 45¢ on ProphetX. Miami Hurricanes (FL): 47¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket, 63¢ on ProphetX. The 16.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that SMU Mustangs will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
SMU Mustangs
50.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SMU wins the Miami (FL) at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Miami (FL) at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
