Live prediction market odds for Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-30
This market resolved on 2026-01-30. Michigan Wolverines was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
cbb-mich-mst-2026-01-30 : Sports event: Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Michigan WolverinesWINNER | 99% | 56% |
Michigan State Spartans | 1% | 45% |
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Michigan Wolverines led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Michigan State Spartans at 23%.
Michigan Wolverines held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Michigan Wolverines, Michigan State Spartans at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 43.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Michigan Wolverines: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Michigan State Spartans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 43.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Michigan Wolverines would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Michigan Wolverines
77.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Michigan wins the Michigan at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Michigan at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 30, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
