Live prediction market odds for Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Liberty Flames was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-msrst-librty-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Liberty FlamesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 98% |
Missouri State Bears | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Liberty Flames led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Missouri State Bears at 2%.
Liberty Flames held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Liberty Flames, Missouri State Bears at 2% were the next closest contenders. The 5.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Liberty Flames: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Missouri State Bears: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. The 5.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Liberty Flames would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Liberty Flames
99.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Missouri St. wins the Missouri St. at Liberty men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Missouri St. at Liberty men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
