Question 1

What was "Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Missouri St led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Liberty at 30%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames"?

Accepted Answer

Missouri St held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Missouri St, Liberty at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 69.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Missouri St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 86¢ on ProphetX. Liberty: 1¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 18¢ on ProphetX. The 69.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 72% odds for Missouri St mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Missouri St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Missouri StWINNER	99%	30%	86%
Liberty	1%	70%	18%

Missouri St Wins: Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Missouri State Bears vs. Liberty Flames