Live prediction market odds for Missouri State Bears vs. UTEP Miners. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-24
This market resolved on 2026-01-24. Missouri State Bears was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Missouri State BearsWINNER | 99% | 55% |
UTEP Miners | 1% | 46% |
Missouri State Bears vs. UTEP Miners was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Missouri State Bears led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UTEP Miners at 23%.
Missouri State Bears held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Missouri State Bears, UTEP Miners at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 44.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Missouri State Bears: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. UTEP Miners: 1¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 44.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Missouri State Bears would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Missouri State Bears
76.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UTEP wins the Missouri St. at UTEP men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Missouri St. at UTEP men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
