Live prediction market odds for Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-19
This market resolved on 2026-01-19. Montana was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MontanaWINNER | 99% | 61% |
Northern Arizona | 1% | 39% |
Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Montana led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Northern Arizona at 20%.
Montana held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Montana, Northern Arizona at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 38.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Montana: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Northern Arizona: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 38.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Montana would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Montana
80.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Montana wins the Montana at Northern Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Montana at Northern Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
