Live prediction market odds for New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-24
This market resolved on 2026-02-24. Nevada Wolf Pack was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 55%.
cbb-nmx-nevada-2026-02-24 : Sports event: New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Nevada Wolf PackWINNER | 54% | 55% | 96% |
New Mexico Lobos | 48% | 46% | 10% |
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Nevada Wolf Pack led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Mexico Lobos at 35%.
Nevada Wolf Pack held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Nevada Wolf Pack, New Mexico Lobos at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Nevada Wolf Pack: 54¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. New Mexico Lobos: 48¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that Nevada Wolf Pack would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Nevada Wolf Pack
68.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Nevada wins the New Mexico at Nevada men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the New Mexico at Nevada men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
