Question 1

What was "New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Sam Houston led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Mexico St at 15%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats"?

Accepted Answer

Sam Houston held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sam Houston, New Mexico St at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 33.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Sam Houston: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. New Mexico St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 33.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 86% odds for Sam Houston mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Sam Houston would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Sam HoustonWINNER	99%	66%	93%
New Mexico St	1%	34%	10%

Sam Houston Wins: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats