Question 1

What was "Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Northwestern led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indiana at 27%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers"?

Accepted Answer

Northwestern held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Northwestern, Indiana at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 69.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Northwestern: 99¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. Indiana: 1¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 69.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 74% odds for Northwestern mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Northwestern would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
NorthwesternWINNER	99%	30%	93%
Indiana	1%	71%	10%

Northwestern Wins: Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers