Question 1

What was "Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TCU led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma St at 22%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs"?

Accepted Answer

TCU held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TCU, Oklahoma St at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 32.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TCU: 99¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 85¢ on ProphetX. Oklahoma St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket, 34¢ on ProphetX. The 32.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 84% odds for TCU mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that TCU would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
TCUWINNER	99%	70%	85%
Oklahoma St	1%	31%	34%

TCU Wins: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs