Live prediction market odds for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-18
This market resolved on 2026-01-18. Maryland was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MarylandWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Penn St | 1% | 0% |
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Maryland led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Penn St at 1%.
Maryland held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Maryland, Penn St at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Maryland: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Penn St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Maryland would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Maryland
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Penn St. wins the Penn St. at Maryland men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Penn St. at Maryland men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
