Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-14
This market resolved on 2026-02-14. North Carolina Tar Heels was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-pitt-ncar-2026-02-14 : Sports event: Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
North Carolina Tar HeelsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 98% |
Pittsburgh Panthers | 100% | 5% | 4% |
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). North Carolina Tar Heels led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pittsburgh Panthers at 36%.
North Carolina Tar Heels held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind North Carolina Tar Heels, Pittsburgh Panthers at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 96.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: North Carolina Tar Heels: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Pittsburgh Panthers: 100¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 96.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that North Carolina Tar Heels would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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North Carolina Tar Heels
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf North Carolina wins the Pittsburgh at North Carolina men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Pittsburgh at North Carolina men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
