Live prediction market odds for Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Portland Pilots. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-24
This market resolved on 2026-01-24. Saint Mary's Gaels was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Saint Mary's GaelsWINNER | 99% | 91% |
Portland Pilots | 1% | 10% |
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Portland Pilots was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Saint Mary's Gaels led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Portland Pilots at 5%.
Saint Mary's Gaels held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Saint Mary's Gaels, Portland Pilots at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Saint Mary's Gaels: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Portland Pilots: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Saint Mary's Gaels would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Saint Mary's Gaels
94.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Saint Mary's wins the Saint Mary's at Portland men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Saint Mary's at Portland men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
