Live prediction market odds for Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-18
cbb-shsu-unm-2026-03-18 : Sports event: Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos - cbb
New Mexico leads the “Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos” event at 85.6% implied probability, followed by Sam Houston at 16.2%. A 3.4% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New Mexico leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sam Houston at 16%.
New Mexico currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind New Mexico, Sam Houston at 16% are the next closest contenders. The 3.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New Mexico: 85¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket, 88¢ on ProphetX. Sam Houston: 16¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket, 17¢ on ProphetX. The 3.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ means the market estimates a 86% probability that New Mexico will be the outcome. Buying one share at 86¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 16% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
New Mexico
85.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New Mexico wins the Sam Houston at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Sam Houston at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 18 at 9:00 PM ET: If the Sam Houston Bearkats win, the market will resolve to "Sam Houston Bearkats". If the New Mexico Lobos win, the market will resolve to "New Mexico Lobos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetX{'note': 'Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules', 'rules_url': 'https://prophethelp.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4675703326481-ProphetX-Prediction-Rules'}
