Live prediction market odds for San Diego State Aztecs vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-24
This market resolved on 2026-01-24. San Diego State Aztecs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
San Diego State AztecsWINNER | 99% | 69% |
UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 1% | 32% |
San Diego State Aztecs vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Diego State Aztecs led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UNLV Runnin' Rebels at 16%.
San Diego State Aztecs held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Diego State Aztecs, UNLV Runnin' Rebels at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 30.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Diego State Aztecs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: 1¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. The 30.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that San Diego State Aztecs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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San Diego State Aztecs
83.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UNLV wins the San Diego St. at UNLV men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the San Diego St. at UNLV men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
