Question 1

What was "St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). St. Bonaventure Bonnies led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include George Mason at 12%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots"?

Accepted Answer

St. Bonaventure Bonnies held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind St. Bonaventure Bonnies, George Mason at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: St. Bonaventure Bonnies: 74¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. George Mason: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 25.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 84% odds for St. Bonaventure Bonnies mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that St. Bonaventure Bonnies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
St. Bonaventure BonniesWINNER	—	74%	95%
George Mason	1%	27%	10%

St. Bonaventure Bonnies Wins: St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriots