Live prediction market odds for Tarleton State Texans vs. California Baptist Lancers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. California Baptist Lancers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
cbb-tarl-cabap-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Tarleton State Texans vs. California Baptist Lancers - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
California Baptist LancersWINNER | 75% | 73% | 95% |
Tarleton State Texans | — | 27% | 10% |
Tarleton State Texans vs. California Baptist Lancers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). California Baptist Lancers led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tarleton State Texans at 19%.
California Baptist Lancers held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind California Baptist Lancers, Tarleton State Texans at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 22.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: California Baptist Lancers: 75¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Tarleton State Texans: 27¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 22.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that California Baptist Lancers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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California Baptist Lancers
81.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf California Baptist wins the Tarleton St. at California Baptist men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Tarleton St. at California Baptist men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
