Live prediction market odds for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-24
This market resolved on 2026-01-24. TCU Horned Frogs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 68%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TCU Horned FrogsWINNER | 99% | 38% |
Baylor Bears | 1% | 63% |
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TCU Horned Frogs led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Baylor Bears at 32%.
TCU Horned Frogs held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TCU Horned Frogs, Baylor Bears at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 61.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TCU Horned Frogs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. Baylor Bears: 1¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. The 61.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that TCU Horned Frogs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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TCU Horned Frogs
68.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TCU wins the TCU at Baylor men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the TCU at Baylor men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 24, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
