Live prediction market odds for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-21
cbb-tcu-duke-2026-03-21 : Sports event: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils - cbb
Duke Blue Devils leads the “TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils” event at 84.8% implied probability, followed by TCU Horned Frogs at 16.0%. A 1.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Duke Blue Devils leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include TCU Horned Frogs at 16%.
Duke Blue Devils currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Duke Blue Devils, TCU Horned Frogs at 16% are the next closest contenders. A 1.8% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Duke Blue Devils: 84¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket, 86¢ on ProphetX. TCU Horned Frogs: 16¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket, 17¢ on ProphetX. The 1.8% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 85¢ means the market estimates a 85% probability that Duke Blue Devils will be the outcome. Buying one share at 85¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 18% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Duke Blue Devils
84.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TCU wins the TCU at Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the TCU at Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 21 at 12:00 AM ET: If the TCU Horned Frogs win, the market will resolve to "TCU Horned Frogs". If the Duke Blue Devils win, the market will resolve to "Duke Blue Devils". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetX{'note': 'Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules', 'rules_url': 'https://prophethelp.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4675703326481-ProphetX-Prediction-Rules'}
