Question 1

What was "TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Kansas led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TCU at 13%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks"?

Accepted Answer

Kansas held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Kansas, TCU at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 31.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Kansas: 99¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. TCU: 1¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. The 31.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 87% odds for Kansas mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that Kansas would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
KansasWINNER	99%	68%	95%
TCU	1%	33%	5%

Kansas Wins: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks