Live prediction market odds for Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-22
cbb-tenn-uva-2026-03-22 : Sports event: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers - cbb
Tennessee leads the “Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers” event at 53.1% implied probability, followed by Virginia at 49.0%. A 3.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tennessee leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Virginia at 49%.
Tennessee currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Tennessee, Virginia at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 3.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tennessee: 53¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket, 55¢ on ProphetX. Virginia: 49¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket, 50¢ on ProphetX. The 3.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Tennessee will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Tennessee
53.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Virginia wins the Tennessee at Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Tennessee at Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 22 at 12:00 PM ET: If the Tennessee Volunteers win, the market will resolve to "Tennessee Volunteers". If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Virginia Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetX{'note': 'Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules', 'rules_url': 'https://prophethelp.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4675703326481-ProphetX-Prediction-Rules'}
