Live prediction market odds for Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-21
This market resolved on 2026-02-21. Louisiana-Lafayette Leopards Ragin' Cajuns was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-txst-loulaf-2026-02-21 : Sports event: Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Louisiana-Lafayette Leopards Ragin' CajunsWINNER | — | 100% | 96% |
Texas State Bobcats | 100% | 0% | 11% |
Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Louisiana-Lafayette Leopards Ragin' Cajuns led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Texas State Bobcats at 37%.
Louisiana-Lafayette Leopards Ragin' Cajuns held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Louisiana-Lafayette Leopards Ragin' Cajuns, Texas State Bobcats at 37% were the next closest contenders. The 100.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Louisiana-Lafayette Leopards Ragin' Cajuns: 100¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Texas State Bobcats: 100¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 100.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Louisiana-Lafayette Leopards Ragin' Cajuns would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Louisiana-Lafayette Leopards Ragin' Cajuns
97.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Texas St. wins the Texas St. at Louisiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Texas St. at Louisiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
