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Live prediction market odds for Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-20
This market resolved on 2026-01-20. Massachusetts Minutemen was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Massachusetts MinutemenWINNER | 99% | 72% |
Toledo Rockets | 1% | 28% |
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Massachusetts Minutemen led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toledo Rockets at 15%.
Massachusetts Minutemen held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Massachusetts Minutemen, Toledo Rockets at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 27.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Massachusetts Minutemen: 99¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Toledo Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 27.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Massachusetts Minutemen would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Massachusetts Minutemen
85.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toledo wins the Toledo at UMass men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Toledo at UMass men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 20, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.