Question 1

What was "UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Arizona Wildcats led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UCF at 3%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats"?

Accepted Answer

Arizona Wildcats held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Arizona Wildcats, UCF at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 6.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Arizona Wildcats: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. UCF: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 6.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 99% odds for Arizona Wildcats mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Arizona Wildcats would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Arizona WildcatsWINNER	99%	100%	98%
UCF	1%	1%	7%

Arizona Wildcats Wins: UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

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Market Rulebook: UCF Knights vs. Arizona Wildcats