Live prediction market odds for UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-18
cbb-uic-cal-2026-03-18 : Sports event: UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears - cbb
California leads the “UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears” event at 66.5% implied probability, followed by UIC at 36.0%. A 4.1% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). California leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include UIC at 36%.
California currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind California, UIC at 36% are the next closest contenders. The 4.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: California: 66¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket, 67¢ on ProphetX. UIC: 36¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 38¢ on ProphetX. The 4.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that California will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
California
66.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf California wins the UIC at California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UIC at California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 18 at 11:00 PM ET: If the UIC Flames win, the market will resolve to "UIC Flames". If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to "California Golden Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetX{'note': 'Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules', 'rules_url': 'https://prophethelp.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4675703326481-ProphetX-Prediction-Rules'}
