About This Market
Sharecbb-illchi-murst-2026-02-03 : Sports event: UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers - cbb
Live prediction market odds for UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. Murray State Racers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
cbb-illchi-murst-2026-02-03 : Sports event: UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers - cbb
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Murray State RacersWINNER | 99% | 72% |
UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Murray State Racers led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution.
Murray State Racers held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. The 27.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Murray State Racers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. The 27.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Murray State Racers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Murray State Racers
85.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Murray St. wins the UIC at Murray St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UIC at Murray St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.