Live prediction market odds for UMBC Retrievers vs. Binghamton Bearcats. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-19
This market resolved on 2026-01-19. UMBC was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
UMBCWINNER | 99% | 100% |
UMBC Retrievers vs. Binghamton Bearcats was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). UMBC led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution.
UMBC held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: UMBC: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that UMBC would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
UMBC
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UMBC wins the UMBC at Binghamton men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UMBC at Binghamton men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
