Live prediction market odds for UMBC Retrievers vs. Maine Black Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-12
cbb-umbc-maine-2026-02-12 : Sports event: UMBC Retrievers vs. Maine Black Bears - cbb
UMBC Retrievers leads the “UMBC Retrievers vs. Maine Black Bears” event at 91.3% implied probability, followed by Maine Black Bears at 9.1%. A 2.9% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
UMBC Retrievers vs. Maine Black Bears is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). UMBC Retrievers leads at 91% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Maine Black Bears at 9%.
UMBC Retrievers currently leads at 91% implied probability. Behind UMBC Retrievers, Maine Black Bears at 9% are the next closest contenders. A 2.9% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: UMBC Retrievers: 92¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket, 92¢ on ProphetX. Maine Black Bears: 8¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 2.9% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 91¢ means the market estimates a 91% probability that UMBC Retrievers will be the outcome. Buying one share at 91¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 10% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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UMBC Retrievers
91.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UMBC wins the UMBC at Maine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UMBC at Maine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
