About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-18
This market resolved on 2026-01-18. Memphis was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
MemphisWINNER | 99% | 96% |
UTSA | 1% | 4% |
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Memphis led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include UTSA at 3%.
Memphis held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Memphis, UTSA at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 3.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Memphis: 99¢ on Kalshi, 96¢ on Polymarket. UTSA: 1¢ on Kalshi, 4¢ on Polymarket. The 3.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that Memphis would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Memphis
97.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UTSA wins the UTSA at Memphis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the UTSA at Memphis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.