Question 1

What was "Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). University at Albany led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Vermont at 3%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes"?

Accepted Answer

University at Albany held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind University at Albany, Vermont at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: University at Albany: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Vermont: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 99% odds for University at Albany mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that University at Albany would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
University at AlbanyWINNER	99%	100%
Vermont	1%	5%

University at Albany Wins: Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Vermont Catamounts vs. Albany Great Danes