Live prediction market odds for Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-19
cbb-verm-umbc-2026-02-19 : Sports event: Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers - cbb
UMBC Retrievers leads the “Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers” event at 90.0% implied probability, followed by Vermont Catamounts at 12.3%. A 7.9% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). UMBC Retrievers leads at 90% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Vermont Catamounts at 12%.
UMBC Retrievers currently leads at 90% implied probability. Behind UMBC Retrievers, Vermont Catamounts at 12% are the next closest contenders. The 7.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: UMBC Retrievers: 91¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. Vermont Catamounts: 10¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket, 12¢ on ProphetX. The 7.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ means the market estimates a 90% probability that UMBC Retrievers will be the outcome. Buying one share at 90¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 11% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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UMBC Retrievers
90.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UMBC wins the Vermont at UMBC men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Vermont at UMBC men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
