Question 1

What was "Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Dons" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Dons was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Francisco led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington St at 16%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Dons"?

Accepted Answer

San Francisco held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Francisco, Washington St at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 29.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Dons" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Francisco: 99¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Washington St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. The 29.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 84% odds for San Francisco mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that San Francisco would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
San FranciscoWINNER	99%	70%
Washington St	1%	31%

San Francisco Wins: Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Dons

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Dons