Live prediction market odds for Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Mercer Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-21
This market resolved on 2026-01-21. Mercer was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MercerWINNER | 99% | 95% |
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Mercer Bears was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mercer led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution.
Mercer held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mercer: 99¢ on Kalshi, 95¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that Mercer would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Mercer
96.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Mercer wins the Western Carolina at Mercer men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Western Carolina at Mercer men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
