Live prediction market odds for Wisconsin Badgers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-22
This market resolved on 2026-01-22. Wisconsin Badgers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Wisconsin BadgersWINNER | 99% | 91% |
Penn State Nittany Lions | 1% | 10% |
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Wisconsin Badgers led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Penn State Nittany Lions at 5%.
Wisconsin Badgers held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Wisconsin Badgers, Penn State Nittany Lions at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Wisconsin Badgers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Penn State Nittany Lions: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Wisconsin Badgers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Wisconsin Badgers
94.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Penn St. wins the Wisconsin at Penn St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Wisconsin at Penn St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
