Live prediction market odds for Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton Bluejays. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-21
This market resolved on 2026-01-21. Creighton Bluejays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Creighton BluejaysWINNER | 99% | 80% |
Xavier Musketeers | 1% | 20% |
Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton Bluejays was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Creighton Bluejays led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Xavier Musketeers at 11%.
Creighton Bluejays held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Creighton Bluejays, Xavier Musketeers at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 19.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Creighton Bluejays: 99¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Xavier Musketeers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 19.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Creighton Bluejays would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Creighton Bluejays
89.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Xavier wins the Xavier at Creighton men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Xavier at Creighton men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
