Question 1

What was "Xavier Musketeers vs. UConn Huskies" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Xavier Musketeers vs. UConn Huskies was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). UConn led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Xavier at 5%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Xavier Musketeers vs. UConn Huskies"?

Accepted Answer

UConn held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind UConn, Xavier at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 6.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Xavier Musketeers vs. UConn Huskies" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: UConn: 99¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Xavier: 1¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 6.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 97% odds for UConn mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that UConn would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
UConnWINNER	99%	93%	99%
Xavier	1%	8%	7%

UConn Wins: Xavier Musketeers vs. UConn Huskies

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Xavier Musketeers vs. UConn Huskies