About This Market
ShareThis market has resolved.
Live prediction market odds for Arizona vs. Arizona State. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Live prediction market odds for Arizona vs. Arizona State. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-28
This market resolved on 2025-11-28. Arizona was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
ArizonaWINNER | 99% | 53% |
Arizona State | 1% | 48% |
Arizona vs. Arizona State was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arizona led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arizona State at 24%.
Arizona held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Arizona, Arizona State at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 46.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arizona: 99¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Arizona State: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 46.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Arizona would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Arizona vs. Arizona State” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Arizona
75.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Arizona wins the Arizona at Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Arizona at Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 28, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.