Live prediction market odds for Fresno State vs. San Jose State. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-29
This market resolved on 2025-11-29. Fresno St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Fresno StWINNER | 99% | 62% |
San Jose St | 1% | 39% |
Fresno State vs. San Jose State was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fresno St led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Jose St at 20%.
Fresno St held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Fresno St, San Jose St at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fresno St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. San Jose St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 37.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Fresno St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Fresno St
80.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Jose St. wins the Fresno St. at San Jose St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 29, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Fresno St. at San Jose St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 29, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
