Question 1

What was "James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). James Madison led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Coastal Carolina at 6%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers"?

Accepted Answer

James Madison held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind James Madison, Coastal Carolina at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: James Madison: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Coastal Carolina: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 9.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 99% odds for James Madison mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that James Madison would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
James MadisonWINNER	99%	100%
Coastal Carolina	1%	10%

James Madison Wins: James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: James Madison vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers