Live prediction market odds for James Madison vs. Oregon. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-20
This market resolved on 2025-12-20. Oregon was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
OregonWINNER | 99% | 93% |
James Madison | 1% | 8% |
James Madison vs. Oregon was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Oregon led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include James Madison at 4%.
Oregon held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oregon, James Madison at 4% were the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Oregon: 99¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket. James Madison: 1¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that Oregon would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Oregon
95.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oregon wins the James Madison at Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Dec 20, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the James Madison at Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Dec 20, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
