About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Navy vs. Cincinnati. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-02
This market resolved on 2026-01-02. Navy was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
NavyWINNER | 99% | 98% |
Cincinnati | 1% | 3% |
Navy vs. Cincinnati was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Navy led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cincinnati at 2%.
Navy held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Navy, Cincinnati at 2% were the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Navy: 99¢ on Kalshi, 98¢ on Polymarket. Cincinnati: 1¢ on Kalshi, 3¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread showed moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Navy would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Navy
98.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Navy at Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Jan 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Navy at Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Jan 2, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.