Live prediction market odds for New Mexico vs. Minnesota. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-26
This market resolved on 2025-12-26. Minnesota was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MinnesotaWINNER | 99% | 69% |
New Mexico | 1% | 31% |
New Mexico vs. Minnesota was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Mexico at 16%.
Minnesota held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota, New Mexico at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 30.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota: 99¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. New Mexico: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. The 30.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Minnesota would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Minnesota
84.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the New Mexico at Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Dec 26, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the New Mexico at Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Dec 26, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
