Live prediction market odds for North Texas vs. San Diego State. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-27
This market resolved on 2025-12-27. North Texas was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
North TexasWINNER | 99% | 86% |
San Diego St | 1% | 14% |
North Texas vs. San Diego State was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). North Texas led the market at 93% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Diego St at 8%.
North Texas held the lead at 93% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind North Texas, San Diego St at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 13.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: North Texas: 99¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket. San Diego St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. The 13.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 93¢ meant the market estimated a 93% chance that North Texas would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 93¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 8% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
North Texas
92.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Diego St. wins the North Texas at San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Dec 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the North Texas at San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Dec 27, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
