About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-01
This market resolved on 2026-01-01. Oregon was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
OregonWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Texas Tech | 1% | 0% |
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Oregon led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Texas Tech at 1%.
Oregon held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oregon, Texas Tech at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Oregon: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Texas Tech: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Oregon would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Oregon
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Texas Tech wins the Oregon at Texas Tech college football game originally scheduled for Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Oregon at Texas Tech college football game originally scheduled for Jan 1, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.