Live prediction market odds for San Diego State vs. New Mexico. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-28
This market resolved on 2025-11-28. New Mexico was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 72%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New MexicoWINNER | 99% | 45% |
San Diego St | 1% | 56% |
San Diego State vs. New Mexico was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Mexico led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Diego St at 28%.
New Mexico held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Mexico, San Diego St at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 54.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Mexico: 99¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. San Diego St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. The 54.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that New Mexico would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New Mexico
71.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Mexico wins the San Diego St. at New Mexico college football game originally scheduled for Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the San Diego St. at New Mexico college football game originally scheduled for Nov 28, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
