About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Troy vs. Jacksonville State. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-16
This market resolved on 2025-12-16. Jacksonville St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Jacksonville StWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Troy | 1% | 43% |
Troy vs. Jacksonville State was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jacksonville St led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Troy at 22%.
Jacksonville St held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jacksonville St, Troy at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jacksonville St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Troy: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Jacksonville St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Jacksonville St
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Jacksonville St. wins the Troy at Jacksonville St. college football game originally scheduled for Dec 16, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Troy at Jacksonville St. college football game originally scheduled for Dec 16, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.