Live prediction market odds for Troy vs. James Madison. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-05
This market resolved on 2025-12-05. James Madison was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
James MadisonWINNER | 99% | 95% |
Troy | 1% | 6% |
Troy vs. James Madison was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). James Madison led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Troy at 3%.
James Madison held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind James Madison, Troy at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: James Madison: 99¢ on Kalshi, 95¢ on Polymarket. Troy: 1¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that James Madison would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
James Madison
96.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf James Madison wins the Troy at James Madison college football game originally scheduled for Dec 5, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Troy at James Madison college football game originally scheduled for Dec 5, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
