Live prediction market odds for Champions League: League Phase Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
Updated Apr 21, 6:10 PM EDT
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Champions League: League Phase Winner event. This competition is crucial as it determines which teams advance to the knockout stages, influencing club revenues and fan engagement across Europe.
Arsenal is priced at 97.0% implied probability for the “Champions League: League Phase Winner” event. A 6.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are affected by team performance in domestic leagues, injuries, and historical success in the Champions League. Additionally, matchday results and head-to-head records play a significant role.
Advancing in the Champions League can lead to substantial financial rewards through broadcasting rights, sponsorships, and ticket sales. Teams that perform well often see increased merchandise sales and fan engagement.
The Champions League is one of the most prestigious tournaments in club football, showcasing top teams from various leagues. Success in this tournament can elevate a club's status and attract top talent.
Champions League: League Phase Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arsenal leads at 97% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Arsenal currently leads at 97% implied probability. The 6.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arsenal is the team to Finish Top of the 2025-26 UCL League Phase Table, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Arsenal
97.0% avg
