Live prediction market odds for CO-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CO-02 House race set for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Democratic Party leads the “CO-02 House winner” event at 93.5% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 5.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements also play significant roles in shaping market perceptions.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The outcome could impact party control in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative agendas and governance. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for broader political trends leading into the next election cycle.
CO-02 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 5%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 5% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Democratic Party
93.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CO-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
