Live prediction market odds for CO-05 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CO-05 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Republican Party leads the “CO-05 House winner” event at 72.0% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 47.0%. A 45.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues impacting voters. Polling data and endorsements can also sway market perceptions.
The outcome could affect party control in the House, influencing legislative agendas and national policy decisions. A shift in this seat may signal broader trends in voter behavior.
The winner will be decided on November 3, 2026, during the general elections. Results will be closely monitored as they can have immediate implications for the political landscape.
CO-05 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 47%.
Republican Party currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 45.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Republican Party
72.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
